Buying a business in Birmingham
The West Midlands had the highest business death rate of any UK region in 2024 at 10.6 per cent, and the lowest five-year survival rate for the 2019 cohort at 30.6 per cent against a UK average of 38.4. That is not a reason to avoid Birmingham and it is a reason to do the trading history properly, because a business that has survived there has survived the hardest regional conditions in the country.
9 min readUpdated
Most guides to buying a business in a particular city are written to sell the city. This one starts with the least flattering number, because a buyer who finds it later will reasonably wonder what else was left out.
The figure, and what it actually measures
30.6%
Five-year survival rate for West Midlands businesses born in 2019, the lowest of any UK region. The UK average was 38.4 per cent and the South West was highest at 43.5. The region also had the highest business death rate in 2024, at 10.6 per cent.
Source: Office for National Statistics, Business Demography UK 2024
Two things about that before it is read as a verdict.
It measures start-ups, not established businesses. The five-year survival rate follows businesses born in 2019 and asks how many were still trading in 2024. It is the odds on founding something, not the odds on owning something that already trades. Buying an eight-year-old business is a different bet entirely, and the whole argument for buying rather than starting is that somebody else has already taken the risk this number describes. Our start or buy comparison sets that out.
And it cuts the other way. A Birmingham business that has traded profitably for eight years has done so through the hardest regional conditions in the country. That is evidence about the business, and it is worth more than the same track record somewhere gentler.
These are regional figures. The ONS does not publish survival rates at city level, so this is the West Midlands rather than Birmingham. The region contains a great deal besides Birmingham.
What it should change about your behaviour is the weight you put on the trading history. Ask for monthly revenue across three years rather than annual totals, and ask what happened in the years the figure is describing.
What actually trades
- Manufacturing and engineering. Birmingham's is the deepest such base of any English city outside the South East, and these are the businesses most likely to carry real plant. That changes the deal: equipment is usually valued separately rather than sitting inside the multiple, and it is the asset a lender can secure against. See below.
- Logistics and distribution. The motorway position is a genuine commercial fact rather than a brochure line. Yard and warehouse businesses trade regularly, and the lease on the yard is frequently the whole deal.
- Professional and B2B services. Accountancy, recruitment, IT, legal support. The same shape as everywhere: the most transferable earnings and the most contested prices.
- Hospitality and leisure. Large, competitive, leasehold, and priced at the bottom of the national multiple range for structural reasons rather than local ones.
- Health and care. Dental, veterinary and care services, with real regulatory barriers to entry and consolidators who buy repeatedly.
The three things that decide a Birmingham deal
1. Plant and machinery, valued properly
More Birmingham deals involve real equipment than deals in most UK cities, and it changes both the valuation and the funding.
Equipment is usually added to the trading value rather than multiplied by it, the same way a freehold is. Multiplying a profit that is already higher because the machinery is owned, and then adding the machinery, counts the same benefit twice.
Get an independent view of what it is worth. Book value follows a depreciation policy chosen for tax purposes and diverges from market value quickly, in both directions: a fully written-down machine can still be worth a great deal, and a recent purchase can be worth much less than it cost. A buyer who accepts the fixed asset register as a valuation is accepting somebody else's accounting judgement as a price.
The upside is that equipment is financeable. Asset finance secured on the machinery itself is often the cheapest money in an acquisition structure, and refinancing existing plant on completion can fund part of the purchase. Our guide to financing an acquisition covers how those layers stack.
2. The lease, and what is on the site
For a yard, a workshop or a warehouse, the site is frequently more of the business than the trade is.
Read the lease in full. Check the unexpired term, whether it is inside or outside the security of tenure provisions of the Landlord and Tenant Act 1954, and whether a change of control requires the landlord's consent. Then check two things specific to industrial sites: the schedule of condition, because dilapidations on a workshop can be a substantial sum nobody has quantified, and any environmental history, because contamination is the one liability that does not care whose name is on the lease.
Rateable values for any commercial property in England are public on the Valuation Office Agency's site. Look them up before the first meeting.
3. Whether the skills transfer
A manufacturing or engineering business often depends on a small number of people who can actually do the work, and they are frequently harder to replace than the owner.
Ask who those people are, how long they have been there, and what would keep them. Under TUPE they transfer on their existing terms with continuity of service intact, which is a constraint and also the reason the knowledge stays. The risk is not the transfer, it is the eighteen months afterwards.
For a Birmingham seller
Your buyer pool includes something most regions have less of: trade acquirers in the same or an adjacent process, who understand the equipment and can price it properly. They are usually the buyer who pays most, and they are also the one who will look hardest at the plant and at customer concentration.
The regional survival figure above is going to come up if your buyer does their research. The answer is the trading history, so have it ready: three years of monthly revenue, the adjustment schedule with evidence behind every line, and a straight account of any year that was difficult. Our guide to what a buyer will ask for is the full list.
Where to look
Search what is listed now by sector and location, free, no registration. Most listings are confidential, so expect a sector and a broad area rather than a name, and see confidentiality in a sale for why.
Common questions
- Is the West Midlands survival rate a reason not to buy in Birmingham?
- No, and it is a reason to check the trading history rather than take it on trust. The figure measures businesses BORN in 2019 and whether they reached 2024, so it describes the odds for a start-up rather than for an established business. If anything it argues the other way: a Birmingham business with eight years of trading behind it has come through conditions that closed more of its peers than anywhere else in the UK.
- What sectors actually trade in Birmingham?
- Manufacturing and engineering, logistics and distribution, professional and B2B services, and a large hospitality and leisure base. The manufacturing businesses are the ones most likely to carry real plant and machinery, which changes how they are valued and how they are financed, because a lender can secure against equipment in a way they cannot against goodwill.
- Does plant and machinery change the price?
- It changes the structure more than the multiple. Equipment is usually valued separately from the trading business rather than being inside the multiple, and it is the part a lender will lend against. A buyer should get an independent view of what the plant is actually worth rather than accepting a book value, because depreciation policy and market value diverge quickly.
- How does it compare to Manchester or Leeds on cost?
- Commercial property is generally cheaper than Manchester and comparable to or below Leeds, and the labour market is large. The practical effect is that the same profit tends to come with a lower fixed cost base, which matters more to a buyer's downside than to the headline price.
Sources
- 2025Business demography, UK: 2024Office for National Statistics
- 2025Business population estimates for the UK and regions 2025Department for Business and Trade
- 2026Find a business rates valuationValuation Office Agency